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Crypto markets drop as Bitcoin falls below its 200-day EMA on 21 October 2025

On October 21, 2025, the crypto market navigated a significant downturn, with major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum experiencing notable declines. This movement was part of a broader correction that began earlier in the month, shaking out excess leverage and testing key technical support levels watched closely by institutional investors.

A Closer Look at the Market Pullback

The market contraction on October 21st was a continuation of a sharp correction that started between October 10 and 13. During that initial plunge, the crypto market lost over $370 billion in value in a matter of hours, with total liquidations estimated in the $19-20 billion range across spot and derivatives markets.

By October 21, Bitcoin (BTC) had fallen 2.6% to around $107,700, trading below its 200-day simple moving average—a key technical level monitored by traders. Ethereum (ETH) mirrored this trend, dropping 2.9% and briefly breaking below the $3,900 level. The downward pressure was widespread, affecting other major altcoins like Solana (SOL) and XRP, which also saw declines of over 3%.

Understanding the Drivers of the Decline

This market dynamic was not driven by a single factor, but rather a confluence of several headwinds that eroded investor confidence and triggered a deleveraging cycle.

  • Massive Leverage Unwind: The market was primed for a correction after reaching record highs, with overheated conditions including record open interest in perpetual futures contracts. When Bitcoin reversed from its peak, it triggered a cascade of margin calls and forced liquidations, creating a feedback loop of selling pressure.

  • Shift in ETF Flows: After being a source of structural demand throughout 2025, U.S. spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs recorded hundreds of millions of dollars in net outflows during the crash. This reversal turned a key source of buying pressure into a source of selling, significantly amplifying volatility.

  • Macroeconomic Pressures: The broader financial backdrop played a significant role. A stronger U.S. dollar and rising real yields on U.S. Treasury bonds increased the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding, risky assets like cryptocurrencies, making them less attractive to investors.

  • Geopolitical and Event Risks: Headlines surrounding trade policy and other geopolitical tensions contributed to a general decline in risk appetite across financial markets, with crypto assets being particularly sensitive to such shifts in sentiment.

The Institutional Perspective and Path Forward

For institutional players, this event has been framed by analysts as a “necessary deleveraging” rather than a systemic failure or the start of a prolonged “crypto winter”. The fact that the crash occurred after all-time highs provided the market with a longer runway for this correction.

Signs of stabilization were already emerging, with funding rates in derivatives markets normalizing and some buyers returning, allowing Bitcoin to trade back above $110,000 in the days following the lowest point. The key for a sustained recovery will be the resumption of steady inflows into spot ETFs and a more favorable macro environment, particularly regarding U.S. monetary policy.

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