A Recent History of Pressure
HBAR has been navigating a challenging technical landscape. In mid-October 2025, the token faced significant selling pressure, sliding 11% and testing a key support zone around $0.16. This decline was part of a broader market weakness and saw its price oscillate between resistance near $0.17 and the $0.16 support level. While the token has recovered from those lows to its current level near $0.18, it continues to trade below its major moving averages, confirming a sustained bearish trend in the shorter term.
Technical Signals and Key Levels to Watch
The current market structure for HBAR presents a mix of caution and potential opportunity, hinging on a few critical technical levels.
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Critical Resistance and Support: For any signs of a bullish reversal to be taken seriously, HBAR first needs to achieve a sustained daily close above the $0.19 level, which has now flipped from support to resistance. Failure to hold above its current support could see the price retreat towards the next significant support zone around $0.1685.
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Momentum Indicators: Despite the price pressure, some underlying momentum may be strengthening. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in neutral territory, suggesting the market is neither overbought nor oversold and has room to move in either direction. A bullish divergence on the RSI, where the indicator makes higher lows while the price makes lower lows, would signal weakening selling momentum and could precede a rebound.
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Market Sentiment: The overall technical analysis sentiment for HBAR is currently neutral to bearish based on moving averages and oscillators, indicating that the path of least resistance remains sideways to down until key resistance levels are broken.
The Road Ahead for Hbar
For traders and treasury managers, the immediate outlook depends on HBAR’s interaction with these key technical levels. A confirmed breakout above $0.19 with strong volume could open the path toward higher targets, potentially near $0.23. However, in the absence of such a breakout, the risk of continued consolidation or a test of lower supports remains.
The next major catalysts will likely be a combination of broader cryptocurrency market sentiment and HBAR’s ability to hold and build upon its current support level. A break below $0.1685 would be a strongly bearish development, likely leading to a test of lower supports.
