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Zcash could have a “violent ending” after a 1,500% rise in two months

Zcash (ZEC) is capturing the market’s attention with a breathtaking rally, soaring over 1,500% in two months to approach the $750 mark. This explosive growth has transformed it from a dormant project into a top-performing asset, but the intense velocity of the climb has simultaneously triggered both technical and regulatory alarms across the industry.

A Look at the Spectacular Surge

Zcash’s price action has been nothing short of historic. After trading below $40 for much of the recent past, ZEC shattered a multi-year downtrend and surged to nearly $374 in October 2025, its highest level since 2018. The momentum has continued into November, with the token breaking above $680 and setting its sights on the next key psychological barrier at $750. This rally has propelled Zcash back into the top 25 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, adding over a billion dollars to its valuation and marking a dramatic return to form.

Underpinning this price explosion is a frenzy of market activity. Derivatives data reveals that futures open interest has skyrocketed to a record-breaking $1.13 billion, indicating a massive influx of new capital and speculative bets on the token’s future price. Concurrently, daily trading volume has ballooned, at times exceeding $1.3 billiona 900% increase from its previous averages—demonstrating the powerful wave of retail and institutional interest fueling the boom.

The Drivers Behind the Boom

Several powerful forces have converged to create this perfect storm for Zcash. A primary catalyst was the very public endorsement from BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes, who published a bullish analysis predicting ZEC could eventually reach $10,000. This high-profile prediction went viral, triggering a wave of FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) that drove traders to accumulate ZEC aggressively.

Beyond influencer hype, a fundamental shift in market narrative is at play. There is a renewed and growing focus on financial privacy, driven by perceptions of increasing government overreach and global regulatory tightening on cryptocurrency surveillance. This has fueled a rotation into privacy-preserving assets, with Zcash emerging as a primary beneficiary. On-chain data supports this, showing a significant rise in the use of Zcash’s shielded transactions, suggesting the rally is partly grounded in genuine adoption of its privacy technology and not just speculative trading.

Zcash Founder Pushes for Hybrid PoS Upgrade at Shielded Labs

Navigating the Risks in the Rally

While the momentum is powerful, the market is whispering warnings. Key technical indicators are flashing red, signaling that the rally may be overextended. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has entered deeply overbought territory, peaking at levels that historically suggest momentum is overheating and a correction could be imminent.

This rapid price inflation has also sparked a serious debate within the crypto community: is this a genuine comeback or a coordinated manipulation? Some analysts point to the timing of the surge immediately following a single influencer’s call and the dramatic, liquidity-driven price moves as hallmarks of a potential “pump-and-dump” scheme, cautioning that late entrants risk becoming “exit liquidity” for early organizers.

Furthermore, the regulatory landscape for privacy coins remains a persistent cloud. While not yet impacting the current rally, the European Parliament has debated restrictions on anonymous crypto assets, with potential implementation projected for 2027. Such regulatory uncertainty represents a long-term risk that could affect ZEC’s accessibility on major exchanges and its broader adoption.

For traders and institutional treasuries, the current environment demands disciplined risk management. The combination of extreme technical readings, speculative derivatives activity, and regulatory ambiguity creates a high-risk, high-volatility scenario. The key for market participants is to monitor whether ZEC can sustainably hold crucial support levels and if the growth in genuine, private transactions can outpace the speculative fervor.

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