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Pantera Capital predicts a brutal pruning in the crypto treasury market for 2026

The asset manager Pantera Capital has projected a scenario of extreme consolidation for the crypto treasury market during the course of this current year. According to a recent post on X, the firm warns that companies with weaker balance sheets will be acquired or left behind, allowing only a few corporate giants to dominate the institutional demand for digital assets.

This “brutal pruning” process is based on the growing disparity between the best-capitalized players and the smaller companies struggling to keep pace with their acquisition schedules. So far in 2026, the crypto treasury market has shown an unprecedented concentration, where massive asset acquisitions of major coins like Bitcoin and Ether are being led by a very select group of global financial institutions.

Within this ecosystem, survival will depend on companies’ ability to manage their debt without ever compromising their existing crypto reserves. Therefore, the crypto treasury market is heading toward an oligopolistic structure, where long-tail token winners will be the only ones capable of following the growth of current valuations while the rest of the sector faces forced liquidation or acquisition.

The hegemony of giants in Bitcoin and Ether reserves

Likewise, corporate accumulation on the Ethereum side is being led almost exclusively by BitMine, a company that currently controls 3.48% of the total supply. With the purchase of more than 35,000 ETH this past week, the firm has demonstrated that the crypto treasury market for this coin is highly concentrated, leaving little room for maneuver for new competitors seeking to establish significant reserves in the short term.

On the other hand, in the Bitcoin space, the hegemony of Michael Saylor and his firm Strategy continues to be the determining factor of price action. By acquiring more than 22,000 BTC recently, the crypto treasury market reflects an absolute dependence on these large corporations, which collectively hold 5.4% of the entire circulating supply of the king cryptocurrency in the world today, according to the latest reports.

Furthermore, firms like Trend Research in Hong Kong are using decentralized finance methods to avoid share dilution, marking a new operational trend. However, for many companies in the crypto treasury market, the use of convertible notes has become a financial trap, forcing them to sell their assets to pay off overdue debts, as recently happened with the firm ETHZilla at the end of December.

Is the concentration of assets in the hands of a few corporations sustainable?

Because the largest players continue to absorb the available supply, the sustainability of small digital treasuries is under intense analytical scrutiny. The crypto treasury market is punishing those who do not possess a solid capital structure, causing a massive migration of value toward entities that can afford to average much higher purchase prices without any immediate risk of insolvency during the current quarter.

Therefore, 2026 is expected to be the year that defines who the true custodians of institutional digital wealth will be. Upon concluding this adjustment period, the crypto treasury market will have transformed blockchain into an exclusive high-finance tool, consolidating the players who manage to survive this phase of technical and economic purging driven by the scarcity of reserve assets globally.

In conclusion, Pantera Capital’s vision suggests that the era of democratization in corporate treasuries might be coming to an end. The crypto treasury market will evolve toward a model of maximum efficiency, where only the most resilient institutions will manage to capitalize on the appreciation potential of digital assets, leaving behind a graveyard of projects that failed to scale their financial infrastructure in time.

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