The digital asset market has started the year with a notable impulse after the price of Bitcoin successfully broke the 92,000 dollar barrier this Monday. This bullish movement has reawakened the interest of large investors, causing Bitcoin volatility in 2026 to become the main focus of financial analysts worldwide. According to recent data from CryptoQuant, the average size of deposits on the Binance exchange has grown thirty-four times since the beginning of last year.
Akash Girimath, official spokesperson for the news, reported that transactions from large holders reached an average of 21.7 units of the digital currency during December. This radical shift in whale behavior suggests that institutional investors are regaining control of the market over traditional retail noise. Likewise, the increase in activity coincides with major macroeconomic events, such as the United States military operations related to the capture of Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela.
Due to these international tensions, experts from QCP Capital point out that the market is experiencing a very profound strategic regime shift. The possibility of hidden reserves existing in the Latin American country has injected a component of uncertainty that could fuel new liquidations of leveraged positions in the short term. However, the general consensus among researchers is that we are facing a price recalibration and not necessarily a bullish rally without defined limits.
New financial horizons after the awakening of large institutional capitals
On the other hand, SynFutures COO Wenny Cai maintains that traders are testing the upper levels of resistance with great caution. She predicts that the first quarter of the year will be marked by a defined trading range with constant sharp movements for users. In this way, the entry of fresh capital will depend largely on the strategies adopted by exchange-traded funds and major global investment banks.
Furthermore, there is a considerable amount of capital stationed in stablecoins that has not yet entered the market definitively. Nearly 3 billion dollars remain on the sidelines, waiting for clearer signals about the economic stability of the South American region and the oil sector. Therefore, the available liquidity will act as critical support if traditional equity markets suffer a severe correction soon. The blockchain technology remains the pillar on which this new resilient cross-border payment infrastructure is built.
What factors will determine if the asset reaches 100,000 dollars this quarter?
Despite the optimism, Derek Lim from the firm Caladan warns that the collateral effects of the geopolitical crisis can trigger fear events. Investors must be alert to any sign of instability that could press down the value of risk assets. For this reason, long-term holders have become net buyers for the first time in several months, establishing a solid foundation for the price. However, Bitcoin volatility in 2026 will remain the determining factor for the profitability of digital portfolios.
Finally, prediction platforms give a 77% probability that the next major move will be toward the six-figure mark. Future prospects suggest that the market will enter a necessary consolidation phase before attempting new all-time highs. In this way, the maturity of the digital financial ecosystem will allow for absorbing external shocks with much greater efficiency than in previous cycles. Thus, the trading volume is expected to maintain a growing trend during the coming weeks of this crypto winter.
