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Crypto market plunges on November 12, 2025: AI tokens lead 6.33% drop as Bitcoin falls below $104,000

On November 12, 2025, the digital asset market experienced a significant correction that underscored the persistent volatility and interconnected risks within the crypto ecosystem. The sell-off was led by AI-related tokens but spread across major cryptocurrencies, creating a complex challenge for institutional managers and traders.

A Sector-Wide Sell-Off

The market downturn was broad, affecting nearly every sector. AI-related tokens were hit the hardest, with the category falling 6.33%. Assets like DeAgentAI (AIA) led the declines, plummeting around 27%. The weakness was not isolated, as Layer 1 and Layer 2 tokens retraced 4.82% and 5.38%, respectively, and meme coins fell 4.85%.

Major cryptocurrencies were not spared. Bitcoin (BTC) retraced 2.61%, with its price dipping below $104,000. Despite finding some support above the $99,000 level, it faced a strong resistance cluster near $109,000, confining it to a tight trading range. Ethereum (ETH) gave up 3.71%, trading below $3,500 and officially turning negative for the year 2025. This decline erased all of its year-to-date gains, signaling a sharp shift in market sentiment.

Leverage Unwinds and Shifting Sentiment

A key driver of the downward momentum was the forced unwinding of leveraged positions. The correction triggered massive liquidations, with over $1.1 billion in positions being wiped out in a 24-hour period. The vast majority of these were long positions, indicating that traders who had bet on higher prices were caught off-guard as key support levels broke.

This has led to a palpable shift in market psychology. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index plummeted into “Extreme Fear” territory, reflecting widespread panic and uncertainty among investors. Analysis from on-chain data firm Santiment revealed a behavioral split: while smaller “shrimp” wallets have been accumulating, larger “whale” wallets have been distributing their holdings, a dynamic that typically prolongs a downturn until whales resume accumulating.

Underlying Causes of the Correction

Several factors converged to create this stressful market environment. A primary reason is a significant drop in institutional demand. Spot Bitcoin ETFs, which had been a major source of inflows, saw demand deteriorate sharply, with outflows of $1.2 billion reported the previous week. Ethereum ETFs have also struggled, experiencing net outflows amid collapsing retail interest.

Furthermore, the market has been grappling with thin liquidity. Since the major crash on October 10, some market makers have reportedly taken heavy losses or curtailed their activity. This has left the market structurally weaker, amplifying price swings as order books became thinner and less able to absorb large orders.

Macroeconomic concerns also played a role. The U.S. government shutdown drama and a more hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve, which has stalled expectations for interest rate cuts, have created a climate of caution for risk assets like cryptocurrencies. This was thrown into sharp relief as U.S. stock markets closed higher on optimism about the shutdown resolution, highlighting a clear divergence in risk appetite between traditional equities and the crypto market.

Crypto Market Faces $245 Million in Liquidations Amid Bitcoin and Ethereum Volatility

Implications for Market Participants

For treasuries, traders, and platforms, the current environment demands heightened risk management. The elevated volatility and liquidation risk increase margin pressure and underscore the need for robust collateral monitoring and liquidity buffers. The mixed signals from ETFs—with Bitcoin products seeing some inflows while Ethereum faces outflows—further complicate allocation and hedging decisions for institutional managers.

The path forward hinges on key indicators. Daily ETF flow data will be critical to gauge institutional conviction. A sustained reversal in whale accumulation patterns would be a strong signal of a potential market bottom. Until then, the market is likely to remain sensitive to macroeconomic developments and the structural challenges of lower liquidity.

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