Hedera’s HBAR is navigating a difficult period, with its price accelerating downward amid weakening technical indicators and cautious market sentiment. As of November 19, 2025, the token trades around $0.146, reflecting a steep decline of almost 19% over the past week and nearly 39% over the last three months. This persistent downtrend has pushed the asset to a critical juncture, where the defense of a key support level is paramount to prevent a more severe correction.
A Precarious Technical Position
The current technical picture for HBAR points to sustained selling pressure and a lack of strong buyer conviction. The price has been confined within a falling channel, a pattern that often signifies the continuation of a bearish trend . Momentum indicators are flashing warning signs; a hidden bearish divergence has appeared on the 12-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI). This occurs when the indicator makes a higher high while the price makes a lower high, suggesting that the underlying downtrend remains strong despite short-lived bullish momentum.
Further compounding the weakness, the Money Flow Index (MFI), which tracks trading volume and price to gauge buying and selling pressure, is threatening to break below a crucial threshold. A drop under 36 would signal that dip buyers are stepping back, leaving sellers in full control of the market’s direction. This aligns with observations that the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has slid into negative territory, indicating net capital outflows and a lack of institutional accumulation.
The Levels That Will Decide the Next Move
For traders and investors, specific price levels have become critical in assessing HBAR’s short-term trajectory. The most immediate and vital support to watch is $0.141. A daily close below this level would be a significant bearish development, likely triggering a further slide toward $0.134. A break below that could open the path for even deeper losses.
On the upside, any hope for a trend reversal hinges on HBAR’s ability to reclaim $0.154 on a daily closing basis. This level now acts as the first major resistance. A convincing break above it could invalidate the immediate bearish outlook and provide a foundation for a recovery toward $0.1808. However, given the current weak structure and negative momentum, such a move would require a significant shift in market sentiment and a return of strong buying volume.
Navigating a Challenging Market Environment
HBAR’s downturn is not occurring in isolation. The asset has shown a strong correlation with Bitcoin, which recently broke below key psychological levels, intensifying selling pressure across the crypto market. Despite this technical weakness, it’s worth noting that the Hedera ecosystem continues to build for the long term. Recent developments include the launch of the State Network initiative to shape U.S. crypto policy and ongoing mainnet upgrades aimed at improving network performance.
For market participants, the current environment demands caution. The combination of breaking key supports, negative momentum indicators, and outflows from institutional capital creates a high-risk setting. The immediate course of action is clear: monitor the battle between the $0.141 support and the $0.154 resistance. The outcome of this technical tug-of-war will provide the clearest signal for HBAR’s next significant move.
