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Hyperliquid’s $1.4B 2025 buybacks drive HYPE higher ahead of a November unlock risk

The Hyperliquid Ecosystem and Market Context

Hyperliquid is a high-performance, decentralized exchange (DEX) and a proprietary Layer 1 blockchain, designed to offer a trading experience that rivals centralized exchanges. It is the largest perpetual DEX by volume, processing over $300 billion in monthly trading volume and supporting more than 100 trading assets. The platform operates on a unique economic model where 100% of the trading fees are directed back to the community, primarily flowing into a central fund known as the “Hyperliquid Assistance Fund”. This model is central to the platform’s mechanism for supporting the value of its native token, HYPE.

Market Dynamics and Price Pressures

The HYPE token is currently navigating a complex market environment, caught between short-term technical pressures and its long-term value proposition.

  • Short-Term Price Pressure: As of October 17, 2025, HYPE is facing a bearish technical setup. The token price has declined significantly from its all-time high of approximately $324 (reached in September 2025) and is currently testing key support levels. Analysts point to a head-and-shoulders chart pattern, with a break below the $42 support level potentially leading to a further drop toward the $33-$35 range. This downturn is partly attributed to a broader market risk-off sentiment and the spillover from a recent $19 billion deleveraging event in the crypto market.

  • Long-Term Bullish Drivers: Despite the short-term weakness, on-chain data suggests that market makers are accumulating HYPE, indicating underlying strength. Furthermore, the fundamental growth of the Hyperliquid platform is strong. It has surpassed competitors like dYdX and GMX in user growth and consistently processes a daily volume of over $5 billion. This robust ecosystem activity, which feeds the assistance fund, forms the foundation of the long-term bullish narrative for the HYPE token.

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