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Solana eyes a 10% rise on SOL ETF launches as large sellers loom

Solana (SOL) is experiencing a significant moment as the launch of new Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) sparks renewed institutional interest, creating a dynamic battle between new demand and potential profit-taking by large holders.

A New Chapter for Institutional Investment

The recent price movement for Solana is closely tied to a landmark development: the launch of spot Solana ETFs in the United States. On October 28, 2025, the Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (BSOL) debuted on the New York Stock Exchange. This fund is notable because it includes a staking mechanism, allowing investors to gain exposure to SOL’s price while also earning rewards, which have historically averaged over 7% annually. This was quickly followed by the conversion of the Grayscale Solana Trust (GSOL) into an ETF, which holds over $105 million in Solana.

These new regulated products provide a crucial bridge for institutional capital, offering a familiar and accessible way for larger funds and corporate treasuries to gain exposure to Solana without the complexities of direct ownership. This event has put SOL firmly back on the radar for a broader class of investors .

Navigating the Current Market Landscape

The influx of potential new demand through ETFs is unfolding alongside a complex technical and on-chain picture. As of October 28, SOL is trading around $201, showing stability above the key psychological level of $200. The immediate technical focus is on a crucial supply zone between $204 and $208; a decisive daily close above this resistance could pave the way for a move toward $237.

However, this optimistic outlook is balanced by significant underlying market dynamics. While the new ETFs may attract steady inflows, data suggests that some large holders, or “whales”, have been positioned to take profits. There have been signs of accumulation, but also instances of large entities unstaking tokens and moving them to exchanges, indicating a readiness to sell. This creates a tug-of-war where new institutional bids could be met with selling pressure from early investors, potentially capping short-term gains and increasing volatility.

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The Path Ahead for Solana

For traders and investors, the current environment demands careful monitoring of a few key factors. The most direct indicator of success will be whether SOL can achieve and sustain a break above the $208 resistance level. Furthermore, tracking the net flows into the newly launched ETFs will provide tangible evidence of institutional demand materializing.

The market’s sentiment appears cautiously optimistic but hesitant. Despite the positive ETF news, retail interest has been described as moderate, and futures open interest has remained relatively flat, suggesting traders are adopting a “wait-and-see” approach rather than aggressively leveraging up.

In summary, Solana stands at a crossroads, propelled by a fundamental shift in its investment accessibility but tested by its own market mechanics. The balance between the fresh, steady demand from ETF inflows and the potential supply from profit-taking by large holders will ultimately determine whether this event marks the start of a sustained uptrend or becomes a catalyst for a period of consolidation.

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