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Solana rises 5% on ‘x402 Surge’ and proposal to reduce token supply

On November 24, 2025, Solana (SOL) saw a notable 5% price increase, climbing to $138.56 amid a broader market downturn. This rally was fueled by two key ecosystem developments: a record-breaking surge in activity on the x402 protocol and a significant new tokenomics proposal, SIMD-0411, which aims to aggressively reduce SOL’s future token supply.

The x402 Protocol: Fueling a New Economy on Solana

The weekend preceding the rally saw unprecedented activity on the x402 protocol built on Solana. This protocol brings to life the long-dormant HTTP 402 status code, “Payment Required”, creating a standardized way for AI agents and machines to autonomously pay for digital resources like API calls, data, and compute power.

The growth has been explosive, with the protocol processing over 500,000 transactions and generating more than $100,000 in volume in a single day, marking a 500% week-over-week increase. This surge demonstrates robust, real-world usage of the Solana network for a novel and compelling use case: the machine-to-machine economy. The network’s high speed (400ms finality) and low transaction costs ($0.00025) make it the ideal settlement layer for such autonomous micropayments, validating its technical capabilities and driving positive sentiment toward SOL.

A Turning Point for Tokenomics

Simultaneously, a major governance proposal, SIMD-0411, has captured the market’s attention. Put forward by Helius Labs, the proposal suggests doubling Solana’s annual disinflation rate from 15% to 30%.

The goal of this accelerated disinflation is to reach Solana’s long-term terminal inflation rate of 1.5% much sooner—by 2029 instead of the original 2032. If passed, this change would remove an estimated 22.3 million SOL from the potential future supply, representing a 3.2% reduction compared to the current emission trajectory. This prospect of increased scarcity, assuming steady or growing demand, creates a fundamentally bullish narrative for the asset’s long-term value.

Whale Movements in Solana: What Do the Million-Dollar Transactions Reveal?

Navigating the Opportunities

For different market participants, these developments carry distinct implications:

  • For Short-Term Traders: The rally driven by specific ecosystem news can lead to heightened volatility. While sharp rebounds are possible, they can be followed by pullbacks, making disciplined risk management and careful attention to liquidity levels essential.

  • For Corporate Treasuries: The potential supply reduction is a promising long-term factor, but its impact is conditional. The proposal must first successfully pass the community’s governance vote, and its effects will materialize over years, not days.

  • For Institutional Investors: The combination of vibrant on-chain utility (x402) and a soundening economic policy (SIMD-0411) strengthens Solana’s investment thesis. However, it’s crucial to monitor the associated risks, including the potential for lower staking yields over time, which could affect validator decentralization, and the ever-present regulatory landscape.

In summary, Solana’s recent price increase is more than a momentary uptick; it’s a reaction to tangible growth in its ecosystem and a potential hardening of its economic foundation. The momentum of the x402 protocol and the community’s decision on the SIMD-0411 proposal will be critical in determining whether this positive sentiment translates into sustained long-term strength.

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